Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 2.498287e-01 3.401392e-01 0.446255 0.578039 0.735187 0.914536 1.132596
2025-12-28 1.324077e-01 2.355179e-01 0.378041 0.579495 0.846987 1.180482 1.617810
2026-01-04 6.760875e-02 1.640295e-01 0.322479 0.575607 0.944330 1.437719 2.122664
2026-01-11 3.026934e-02 1.090424e-01 0.266834 0.552167 1.005107 1.649680 2.587840
2026-01-18 1.234454e-02 7.336141e-02 0.225431 0.535582 1.067275 1.864363 3.069932
2026-01-25 4.801049e-03 5.244018e-02 0.200881 0.538387 1.155524 2.120060 3.622920
2026-02-01 1.126688e-03 3.368642e-02 0.168769 0.515967 1.195352 2.302637 4.078832
2026-02-08 2.779483e-04 2.613695e-02 0.161208 0.540356 1.317005 2.617850 4.743502
2026-02-15 1.413282e-05 1.818828e-02 0.145531 0.541541 1.394683 2.865966 5.317246
2026-02-22 4.299990e-08 1.554870e-02 0.147630 0.585026 1.555620 3.257650 6.124576
2026-03-01 NaN 1.220569e-02 0.143409 0.611090 1.684154 3.601042 6.868822
2026-03-08 NaN 8.578109e-03 0.132989 0.617518 1.772963 3.880645 7.522054
2026-03-15 NaN 5.125998e-03 0.117209 0.605209 1.824044 4.102443 8.099962
2026-03-22 NaN 3.409013e-03 0.109953 0.616325 1.925760 4.417847 8.839341
2026-03-29 NaN 2.006472e-03 0.100505 0.617233 2.004648 4.695872 9.526823
2026-04-05 NaN 8.531244e-04 0.086015 0.595097 2.028425 4.874695 10.057126
2026-04-12 NaN 3.061086e-04 0.074562 0.578870 2.062960 5.073515 10.625351
2026-04-19 NaN 1.144506e-04 0.068705 0.582486 2.144744 5.363183 11.352793
2026-04-26 NaN 1.135293e-05 0.057842 0.559102 2.156745 5.520442 11.860436
2026-05-03 NaN 2.716484e-06 0.057576 0.585078 2.295928 5.926623 12.801322
2026-05-10 NaN 6.843566e-11 0.052742 0.586422 2.371242 6.211430 13.540623
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.056185 0.632443 2.567636 6.739017 14.708684
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.056194 0.659999 2.716548 7.177327 15.730405